A “Why” In Militia Failures, or “Ode To A Special Snowflake”

from-the-desk-of-jc-dodge

I had occasion recently to once again read over the “Militia Standards and Principles of the Light Foot”, I was once again struck by the lack of operational understanding that has been presented by a guy who apparently is only good at the “cut and paste”, and not so good at the occasional “This sounds about right” to fill in the blanks left by what he couldn’t find in manuals, or what didn’t fit his paradigm.  What’s the relevant experience of this “major” Jeffrey Stankiewicz, (or is it “colonel” today?)? NONE.

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The “commander” with his AK DMR

Here are some highlights from the “manual”,

________________________

The Geneva Conventions set forth the conditions for the recognition of legitimate militia
organizations…
ANNEX TO THE CONVENTION : Regulations respecting the laws and customs of war on
land
-Section I : On belligerents
-Chapter I : The qualifications of belligerents
-Article 1. The laws, rights, and duties of war apply not only to armies, but also to militia
and volunteer corps fulfilling the following conditions:
1. To be commanded by a person responsible for his subordinates;
2. To have a fixed distinctive emblem recognizable at a distance;
3. To carry arms openly; and
4. To conduct their operations in accordance with the laws and customs of war.
In order to fulfill these conditions we ask you to do the following:
 Obtain a suitable uniform and purchase the appropriate rank and insignia patches (see
LFMS-01-07A “Uniform Standards”).

________________________

Here’s is what the whole thing says in the GC. Note the part about “Inhabitants of a territory that has not been occupied”,

“This was the solution adopted by the Hague Regulations of 1907 (Articles 1-3), which begin with a chapter devoted to the qualification of belligerents. These articles lay down that the laws, rights and duties of war apply only to armies and to militia and volunteer corps which form part of the army. The militia and volunteer corps which do not form part of the army should fulfill the following conditions                                                                                 (Article 1):

– to be commanded by a person responsible for his subordinates;

– to have a fixed distinctive emblem recognizable at a distance;

– to carry arms openly; and

– to conduct their operations in accordance with the laws and customs of war.

The inhabitants of a territory which has not been occupied, who, on the approach of the enemy, spontaneously take up arms to resist the invading troops, without having had time to organize themselves in accordance with the above mentioned rules, shall be regarded as belligerents if they carry arms openly and if they respect the laws and customs of war (Article 2 – Levee en masse). The armed forces of the belligerent parties may consist of combatants and noncombatants. In case of capture by the enemy, both have a right to be treated as prisoners of war (Article 3)”

Why didn’t Ol’ Jeffy put that last part in there? Well because that doesn’t give them the excuse to uniform, rank, and gun up, does it? It says they can spontaneously react. Idaho Law says this about their militias,

“CONSTITUTION OF THE STATE OF IDAHO APPROVED JULY 3, 1890 ARTICLE XIV MILITIA SECTION 1. PERSONS SUBJECT TO MILITARY DUTY. All able-bodied male persons, residents of this state, between the ages of eighteen and forty-five years, shall be enrolled in the militia, and perform such military duty as may be required by law; but no person having conscientious scruples against bearing arms, shall be compelled to perform such duty in time of peace. Every person claiming such exemption from service, shall, in lieu thereof, pay into the school fund of the county of which he may be a resident, an equivalent in money, the amount and manner of payment to be fixed by law. SECTION 2. LEGISLATURE TO PROVIDE FOR ENROLLMENT OF MILITIA. The legislature shall provide by law for the enrollment, equipment and discipline of the militia, to conform as nearly as practicable to the regulations for the government of the armies of the United States, and pass such laws to promote volunteer organizations as may afford them effectual encouragement. SECTION 3. SELECTION AND COMMISSION OF OFFICERS. All militia officers shall be commissioned by the governor, the manner of their selection to be provided by law, and may hold their commissions for such period of time as the legislature may provide.” (Note, this was written before the 1903 Dick Act, so the National Guard did not exist as the NG entity. The Dick Act actually implemented the requirements above, and the Idaho Home (State) Guard was established in WWI with the formation of 4 Companies of 100 men each by the Governor)

It also says this,

TITLE 46 MILITIA AND MILITARY AFFAIRS
CHAPTER 1
STATE MILITIA — ORGANIZATION AND STAFF
46-103.  STATE MILITIA — DIVISION INTO CLASSES. The militia of the state of Idaho shall be divided into three (3) classes, to wit:
The national guard, the organized militia, and the unorganized militia. The national guard shall consist of enlisted personnel between the ages of seventeen (17) and sixty-four (64), organized and equipped and armed as provided in the national defense act, and of commissioned officers between the ages of eighteen (18)and sixty-four (64) years, who shall be appointed and commissioned by the governor as commander-in-chief, in conformity with the provisions of the national defense act, the rules and regulations promulgated there under, and as authorized by the provisions of this act. The organized militia shall include any portion of the unorganized militia called into service by the governor, and not federally recognized (this would probably be the Idaho State Guard under Title 32, see below). The unorganized militia shall include all of the militia of the state of Idaho not included in the national guard or the organized militia (this talks about those who would be eligible for drafting).

TITLE 46 MILITIA AND MILITARY AFFAIRS CHAPTER 8 MISCELLANEOUS AND GENERAL PROVISIONS 46-802. UNORGANIZED ASSOCIATIONS PROHIBITED — PARADES PROHIBITED — EXCEPTIONS. No body of men, other than the regularly organized national guard, the unorganized militia when called into service of the state (Organized Militia), or of the United States, and except such as are regularly recognized and provided for by the laws of the state of Idaho (nothing is listed about the unorganized militia in Idaho State law concerning “regularly recognized”) and of the United States, shall associate themselves together as a military company or organization, or parade in public with firearms in any city or town of this state. No city or town shall raise or appropriate any money toward arming or equipping, uniforming, or in any other way supporting, sustaining or providing drill rooms or armories for any such body of men; but associations wholly composed of soldiers honorably discharged from the service of the United States or members of the orders of Sons of Veterans, or of the Boy Scouts, may parade in public with firearms on Memorial Day or upon the reception of any regiment or companies of soldiers returning from such service, and for the purpose of escort duty at the burial of deceased soldiers; and students in educational institutions where military science is taught as a prescribed part of the course of instruction, may with the consent of the governor, drill and parade with firearms in public, under the superintendence of their teachers. This section shall not be construed to prevent any other organization authorized by law parading with firearms, nor to prevent parades by the national guard of any other state or territory.”

state_defense_forces_updated

State defense forces: army units highlighted in red, naval units in blue, those with both in green, inactive in purple

Hrmmm, the “Unorganized Militia” becomes the “Organized Militia” when activated by the Governor. Well that kinda sounds like the Idaho State Guard doesn’t it? But JC, the ISG hasn’t been activated by the Governors in years. OK, so what, that’s his prerogative, isn’t it? Do I agree with it? No. Can he do it? Yes. A number of states have “State Defense Forces” (see map), that are separate from the National Guard. Low and behold, Idaho is one of them.

So my question is, why isn’t Ol’ Jeffy consider himself part of the SDF of Idaho (or at least say that’s what they are) if he wants to serve so bad, but lacks the wherewithal of even joining the NG. Well, it doesn’t become the Organized Militia (ISG), till the Governor activates them, and I guess the Gov hasn’t felt the need in Idaho, considering he has Army and Air National Guard to draw from in emergencies. Besides, Ol’ Jeffy wouldn’t be in charge if he was in the ISG, and he needs to be in charge, right?

Here’s another gem from the “manual”,

_________________________

We are not a private militia or private para-military group (sure you are Jeffy, but you know you can’t publicly say that due to Idaho law, right?). We are citizens of the several states who are simply exercising our rights, to bear arms and peacefully assemble, to train and network with other patriotic Americans, in order that we might be a “well-regulated militia” (But Jeffy, you’re part of the “Unorganized Militia” according to the 1903 Dick Act, how can you be “well regulated”? The terms, “Well Regulated” and “Unorganized” are mutually exclusive) if the time ever comes when we are called upon to defend our County, State, Nation and U.S. Constitution “against all enemies, foreign and domestic.”

________________________

But JC, doesn’t that openly violate the Title 46 statement of, “except such as are regularly recognized (They are not) and provided for by the laws of the state of Idaho and of the United States, shall associate themselves together as a military company or organization”Well, I guess it does, but it’s not like they’re openly flaunting it on social media….right? Oh wait….Uh yeah….

Oh look, more “manual” guidance under the “Mission Statement”,

_____________________

The members of the unorganized militia shall ever stand, as have our forefathers before
us, first to God, from Whom we acknowledge the Authority of all Rights, and all the blessings of governments and to our native state.

but then this in the same section,

– To promote and propagate the militia as a well regulated (trained and prepared)
organization, knowledgeable in historical precedent and current affairs, that is composed of common citizens.
To develop a cohesive and competent command structure.
To train our members in the many disciplines necessary to the function of the militia
as a whole and to the members individually.

__________________________

Um, I do not think someone knows the meaning of the words “Unorganized”, and “well regulated/trained and prepared”.

Here’s another one under “Mission Statement”,

__________________________

– To suppress domestic insurrections and violence by supporting and assisting the
appropriate Officers of the Law in upholding and maintaining law and order in accordance with such Local, State, and Federal statutes and laws that do not present jeopardy to our God-given rights as acknowledged in the U.S. Constitution, among others (see Amendment 9, Constitution of these united States).

__________________________

Here’s the thing, they (Officials) don’t want anything to do with you Jeffy. Here’s what the Governor had to say,

“I do not in any way endorse either of these ‘militia’ groups. They have no affiliation with me, the State of Idaho, the Idaho National Guard, or the armed services of the United States.” Governor Otter then clarified his position regarding the militia even further by writing, “I do not recommend or advocate any level of involvement in militia activities.” Right after that quote by the Governor, the article went on to say this, “The militia men and women say they need the governors OK to be activated, so his position on their activities was a disappointment.”

Do I agree with the Governor not squaring away the ISG? Nope, not at all.

I don’t have the time to go into his “Rank Structure”, “Unit Structure” (Except for the SWORD crap), and required “Basic Training”, and “Uniform”,other than to say it was obviously written by someone without a grasp of reality in Combat Arms and the organization inherent within that group, and they also have a desire to implement some fantasy that seems uh…..cool I guess. Example:

_______________________

Headgear – Privates, Corporals and Sergeants will wear the GI “Boonie Hat” in woodland.
All Officers will wear the woodland BDU Patrol Cap. Combat is confusing enough (cuz Modern Warfare 3); being able to readily distinguish officers (without being overly obvious to the enemy) is of the utmost importance. (In the field on patrol, officers may opt for a boonie for its ability to break up your outline and hide you from enemy observation.)” 

_______________________

So I guess he’s never heard of why the guy with the binos or radio get’s whacked first, huh? I’m just surprised he didn’t say the “officers” needed to wear tricorn hats LOL. Maybe he wants to be like the French?

militia-fail-post2

Now we’ll talk about what he calls his  S.W.O.R.D’s ( Select Weapons, Ordinance and Reconnaissance Detachment). He calls it a SWORD Team, but the word “Team” is redundant, considering the “D” in “SWORD” stands for “Detachment”. Let’s see what they specialize and train in,

_________________________

Here’s the detachment description of a S.W.O.R.D.,

S.W.O.R.D. Teams consist of 6 men who receive extra training in one of three areas:
Designated Marksman, Land Navigation or Communications. Two men in each team will
duplicate the necessary disciplines of “Shoot, Move and Communicate”.
They will carry highly accurate rifles with higher end optics/night vision (Select
Weapons); study the theory and employment of military weapons they may encounter on a future battlefield, such as grenades, RPG’s, mines, etc. (Ordinance) (I think what I said below, also applies here) ; and practice advanced land navigation, compass/map reading and recon techniques (Reconnaissance). 

Training activities of a six man S.W.O.R.D. Team:

– Plan and conduct a surveillance/recon patrol; to include long range ops (LRRP). (Yay, he got to use a cool sounding “high speed” military acronym right at the beginning)
– Plan and implement psychological ops. (PsyOps too, WOW)
– Prepare accurate SitReps and assist Command Staff in the planning of operations.
– Identify and track enemy patrol/recon operations.
– Design and implement ambushes and raids; to include sniper operations. (So what’s the rest of your “combatants” supposed to do?)
– Know how to assemble incendiary devices made from common readily available material
(knowledge, not build illegal devices). (I guess putting that gay disclaimer will get you off the hook with the feds, huh? The problem is that academic understanding doesn’t equate to real world implementation, and that’s how you get people killed through accidents or a failure to work when it is needed.)
– Create a smoke screen.

Communications:
– Must complete a HAM radio training program and have a thorough understanding
of Basic Operating Procedures, Tactical Comm, CommSec, the Rapid Alert System, SitRep
and SALUTE and his unit C.E.O.I. (These are all things every combatant in a team, detachment, squad, etc. should know, they are not specialties)
– Must be able to operate all unit comm equipment. (See above)
– Build a field expedient, clandestine antenna.
– Transmit and receive Morse code.

Designated Marksman Team:
– Both must pass DMR qualification. In the field one will act as the spotter. (DMR Qual consists of hitting an 8 1/2×11″ sheet of paper 10 out of 10 times at 200 yds [4.25 MOA!!!!] within 3 minutes, and “No”, I’m not making that up, that’s their DMR Qual) 
– Conduct a terrain survey.
– Estimate range to target.
– Construct and use a ghillie suit. (What about hiding the rest of the team?!)
– Construct and use a Sniper/Forward Observation Post hide. (They aren’t even DM’s, let alone snipers)
– Conduct long range surveillance of target for intelligence gathering purposes.
– Plan and implement a enemy harassment plan. (It’s called “Shoot and scoot”)
– Plan and conduct interdiction operations on key target personnel. (Shouldn’t the TL and ATL be planning that?)

Advanced Land Navigation:
– Advanced map/compass reading (Um, everybody should know this)
– Excellent land navigation skills (see above)
– Plan, lead and execute patrols and reconnaissance gathering missions.

The Team Leader and Assistant Team Leader must be the two members of the team
trained in advanced land navigation techniques. They will plan and lead the patrols/operations,
as well as assist in the training of the other members of the team.

_______________________

First, the whole (specialized) detachment should be skilled in better than normal LandNav (You’d know that if you had ever served in Combat Arms). Second, you have two commo guys, but no medic? You have two “DM’s”(not really), but no one carrying something “Heavy” for fire suppression (like a drum fed AR or AK)? Jeffy wants this to sound all high speed, but apparently, once again, he is clueless on proper organization and application.

So why all the “Pickin’ on Jeffy”? Jeffy is an example of what has gone wrong with what was originally an important part of our history. Jeffy comes up with excuses just like most of the “militia” groups out there to do things that make him, and by extension, his group, look like what he considers to be “badass”, and “military”, even when they are not. There are groups of “militia” all over this country that took what Jeffy wrote in that “manual” as gospel, and only a few that I am aware of actually questioned it (And after they sent it to me and I read it, I told them to throw it out.)

I don’t care what you call your groups, but when guys try saying they are “Constitutional Militia”, and are clueless about not only the meaning of the term, but the authority required to be that, and also the responsibilities inherent in being that, it causes a slight irritation. When a guy who says he’s “authorized” by the “4th Continental Congress” to have his militia, you might want to ask questions like “What the Hell is the 4th Continental Congress?”, and find out the “Where”,”When”, and “Who” of it.

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Hey Jeffy AKA “OWP”, I’m glad I could share my little bit of knowledge with you today. Yeah, he directed the above line at me LOL.

As I’ve said here and here , you don’t need a piece of paper to authorize you and yours to train to protect yourselves, your loved ones, and your communities. These are inherent rights given to you by God, and I don’t need a Damned amendment or parchment to tell me I can do that. If you really think you have to say your group is a “Constitutional” whatever, what are you going to do when they take it away? Yes, Jeffy, they have legal ways of throwing out the whole thing (ConCon anyone?), and in the end it doesn’t matter one lick because I know where my rights come from (and it ain’t a parchment), and just as importantly, I know what my responsibilities are. If you guys reading this want to make a difference that has substance, get off social media with your groups (if you have one), organize at the local level, and prepare for the worst case scenario. Hey Jeffy, ask your Forf consteetooshunal CONvenchun” if you can do that! Hell, I didn’t even have to bring up your background or beliefs, did I Jeffy?

MDT RBTEC Class

JCD

American by BIRTH, Infidel by CHOICE

 

 

 

Lizard Farmer’s Back

Glad to see him posting again.

_________________________________________________________________

All work and no play sucks

lizard2

 

I just got back stateside a few days ago and there’s a few things I have to catch up on before I begin posting regularly again. Just a few notes to catch up:

First off I didn’t know Mike V. had passed until the day after I got back, may he rest in peace. A quick browse through Sipsey Street and sitting in on a III% teleconference last night accomplished something for me: It gave me hope. Matt V in my opinion is a more than worthy successor to the III% mantle (even if he doesn’t want it) and his emphasis on the III% catechism is spot on. Bravo Matt, keep up the fire.

A lot of folks are butthurt that Max Velocity has started charging for his forum. MDT has a good writeup on the subject in which he uses the phrase “tactical welfare”. And you know what? He’s spot the hell on. Some of us can afford to host free training, give free advice, insights, etc. because the ability to feed our families and pay the bills aren’t dependent on it. Max is what I call a “Grinder”, or a person that consistently puts out info, hosts training, and generally stays energized. If he needs to charge to pay the bills then so be it. To those that decry his charging I pose the following question: Would you rather he dump it and get a job thereby removing what he offers altogether? The loss of an asset like Max would be a serious loss to the community at large. I’ve heard nothing but outstanding comments from folks that have actually attended his training and his books are chock full of good solid info.

When I see folks that scream for “free training” or “free anything” I subconsciously assign them into the same category in my mind as the Free Shit Army – once again MDT nailed it in his post about the “EBT” card. If you disagree that a man or woman should be compensated for his efforts if he delivers a quality product then step back and take a look in the mirror. If people charge and deliver substandard training then word of mouth will eventually drive them out of the business. It’s happened before. But I’ll wager Max will be around for a while.

Next up: During my recent soiree I read Mosby’s latest book “Forging The Hero”. If you haven’t read it yet then go and buy it and read the damn thing. The Tribal insights contained in it along with the values he presents is probably the best single volume I’ve read to date. But once you’ve read it dig through and go read his source material as well. JM did a helluva job on this one.

Final note for now: Folks I am reconnecting with a lot of the groups and militias in the state and the areas around it. What I am seeing is even worse fractioning than before I left and egos run the fuck amok. Look: If you never served a day in your life, never worked in any kind of tactical field, and never really led people then you have no business being in “Command” of anything.  Likewise with rank. If you think that rank is all about authority you’re fucked in the head. It’s about responsibility. If you want to use ranks in a group fine, but if you focus on what their authority is vs. what their responsibility is then you are part of the problem and not the solution.

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I appreciate LF’s affirming what I said in my “‘Tactical Welfare’ And The ‘Malice State’” post. Having a guy like him back your play is encouraging indeed.

JCD

American by BIRTH, Infidel by CHOICE

The George Patton 325 Scenario “90 Days” Part 1

Food post1

Got food? If you do have to leave in a hurry and you have the space to haul your supplies, milk crates make an excellent way to store your canned goods.

I know GP probably gets a lot of the same emails I get about “What do you think we need to prep for?” Although it’s easy to go through a bunch of scenarios that could happen to start your preps. Not having general preps squared away before going for specific scenario based preps is somewhat “cart before the horse”, and does not take care of basic needs adequately.

Food post4

Don’t forget food for your alarm/defensive systems

If you look at Selco’s actual experiences, the scenario used by Rawles in “Patriots, Survive The Coming Collapse”, MVT uses in “Patriot Dawn”, Frank writes about in “Alas Babylon”, Niven and Pournelle example in “Lucifer’s Hammer” or Dickson puts forward “Wolf and Iron”, you will see that the amount of specific preps needed to cover all the bases are staggering. However, reading through these books will give you a good idea of what basic preps are needed, and you have to start somewhere, right?

Battery Post3

Got protection? My choice is 7.62Nato, 12 Gauge, and .45ACP. YMMV.

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You Must Be Able to Survive 90 Days

Most liberty-minded folks believe that the “bad times” are inevitable.  Most of us want to be prepared for whatever those “bad times” really mean.  A large number of us never prepare.

There are lots of reasons why folks don’t prepare.

  • Some don’t prepare because they aren’t sure what to prepare for.
  • Some (probably most of us!) are on limited budgets.
  • Most of us suffer from “prepping” fatigue.  (It’s funny – a well known site that promotes “Prepper Shows” suggests that we should call it “survivalism” because “prepping” has too many bad connotations!)  There is just too much information out there and much of it has virtually no application to most of us.  It is very easy to be overwhelmed and do little or nothing.

Many in the liberty movement don’t make it easier for us.  There are many web sites out there telling us what the one single thing is that will make us “winners” in the fight to restore liberty.

Some of what is out there is legit and good info.  Sadly much of what is out there is written by people who merely want to make money off the backs of us in the liberty movement.  On the one hand, that is kind of neat.  We’ve become a market that folks recognize and want to target us for sales.  On the other hand, there is a lot of useless junk out there that is incredibly overpriced.

No one knows what will precipitate the upcoming troubles.  No one.  Some ascribe to a huge government crackdown on the citizenry.  Others fear an invasion by a foreign power such as China, Russia, ISIS, the UN, etc.  The theories abound.  Certainly the actions of our Government in the last 50 or so years have driven us to the breaking point.

At the end of the day though, the threat that you plan for needs to be broken down into the short term, intermediate term and long term.

For most of us, we usually start with the long term threat, namely a complete breakdown of the government as we know it with either an internal civil war or a war against foreign aggressors on our homeland.  We try to plan backwards.

And for most folks, that’s where they stop.  It just looks too big to handle.

We’re all on limited budgets, have limited time, and quite frankly limited skills.  We can’t all move off the grid to some magical “safe spot”.  We can’t all possibly learn everything that is needed.

I suggest that we need to start with the short term threat.  If you can’t survive the short term threat, it really doesn’t matter that you were prepared for the intermediate or long term threats.

You need to survive for 90 days.

You need to have food, water and the means to protect it for 90 days. 

Until you have these basic preps, you shouldn’t spend a dime on any other preps.  Having a ham radio that allows you to talk to the world doesn’t help you if you don’t have food or water.  The best generator in the world is not edible.  An arms room full of tons of guns and bullets doesn’t help you if you run out of food and water.

So what does the 90 days look like?

I predict that an unnatural disaster will cause a nationwide breakdown of society.  Lots of things could cause it, but I think the most likely cause will be the loss of food.  EBT card breakdown would be the most catastrophic, but it could be massive rioting causing stores to stop resupply.

Note, this is just one of MANY possible reasons for societal breakdown.  Your threat analysis may vary!

No food will cause massive unrest.  Violence will be terrible.  Quite frankly those who will cause the violence will probably descend to killing each other very quickly.  Roving bands of violent thugs will wander throughout cities and they will destroy what they can in an attempt to get their own food and water.

And what of Federal, State and Local law enforcement?  Sadly, most of them will be used to guard what the Federal, State and Local governments want protected.  Much of it will be critical infrastructure.  Lots of it will be guarding the “elites” in government.

THE FIRST 30 DAYS

The first 30 days will be violent, with much random killing.  I estimate that anywhere as many as half of the population will be killed, many of them the thugs and the remainder innocent folks who got caught up in the violence.

Our mission in the first 30 days is to survive.  It’s time to “hunker down”.  Note, I don’t recommend “bugging out”.  We can discuss bugging out on a different occasion, but I believe that in the first 30 days the random violence will get you killed if you are out and about.

I don’t think anyone should leave their safe space during these 30 days.  Blacked out windows, decoy trash in the front yard, vehicles up on blocks, etc., will help keep you from being a target and victim.  Not looking like a target will increase your chances of not being a target.  Lights visible from the road, a roaring generator, the aroma of food cooked on the grill are all things that will attract attention.

The minimums you must have are non-perishable food, water for drinking and sanitation, a mechanism for handling human waste, and of course the means to protect these things.

EVERYTHING else is bonus at this time.

Yes, it would be nice to have IR wireless cameras to watch your perimeter.  It would be nice to have shortwave radios to listen to the news.  It would be nice to have ham radios to check on friends.  It would be nice to have solar chargers, storage batteries, inverters and the like to keep your phones and laptops operable.  The list of “nice” things goes on and on.

But, if you aren’t eating or drinking, it doesn’t matter.

DAY 31 TO 60

The second 30 days will be different.  The thugs that are left will be the stronger ones.  They survived.  They will be more violent and far more desperate.  They have run out of all things that they need.  They will be a little more organized, but probably in small groups/gangs.  By this point most of them will be on foot.  With no gas stations and roads/highways cluttered with wrecks, burned out vehicles and vehicles merely out of fuel, rapid transit won’t be easy.

These smaller gangs will target what they believe to be opportunities to get food, fuel, water and arms/ammunition.  They have the challenge of food and water just like we do.  Imagine a 20 mile hike with nothing for them at the end.

With the smaller numbers of thugs, the Government will begin conducting operations to restore law and order.  I imagine it will be with overwhelming force, city by city, with a combined State National Guard, State Police and Local Police.  They won’t be able to be everywhere at once, so the restoration will not be automatic.  A good percentage of these forces will still be used to protect what the Government thinks is important (important to them, not to you).

During these second 30 days, it may be possible for you to venture outside.  I would only do it in daylight and only in groups.  At least two vehicles with four armed people in each vehicle.  If your area is part of the restoration operations, I probably would stay off the streets.  Shoot to kill really means shoot to kill.

As in the first 30 days, our Government will not have the resources to target the good guys.  They will be struggling to survive and protect what is theirs.

DAY 61 TO 90

During the third 30 days I think we will see efforts to restore services.  Electricity will start to work.  Water will start to flow.  Stores that still exist will start stocking food, fuel and other essentials.  It won’t be universal, and it won’t be easy.

I recommend taking advantage of what is available and attempt to restock my supplies.  I still wouldn’t venture out by myself.  Perhaps smaller groups but still in multiple vehicles.  If you haven’t shaved or cut your hair in a couple of months, I probably would.  You want to look like a civilian who needs resupply, not an armed thug.  Just because we survived the 90 days doesn’t mean it’s going to get better.

Our country’s population will be smaller at the end of 90 days.  Merely cleaning up the devastation and dead bodies will take many months.  Heck, some places may never come back.

Our Government will make plans to insure that something like this doesn’t happen again.  Change will happen and as always many will attempt to take advantage of the crisis to make changes that we won’t like.  Our Government will have more time on their hands to screw with us, the good guys.  But, we’ll be alive to try and influence that change.

We’ll all have some serious “lessons learned” from these 90 days.  Things we wish we had done different or better.  Our mission remains the same.  Restock and work on the next 90 days.  Smarter, wiser and alive.  Armed with what we learned and with what others learned, we’ll probably do it a little different.  Resources will be shifted to the next phase of survival.

By the way, this 90 day plan is just that, a plan.  Unrest isn’t like a football game.  You won’t know when the game starts, there will be no halftime, and there are no four quarters.  The length of each phase will likely vary.  There may be overtime.  You can watch for indicators of when it will start, but based on experience of social unrest localized unrest can grow very quickly.

Part Two of this series will discuss food.  Part Three will discuss water and sanitation.  Part Four will discuss how to use deception to hide the fact that you are alive, well and capable of surviving.  Future parts after that will discuss how to accomplish the “nice” things on a budget.

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GP's Prep post

Heat (Kerosene heater) for warmth and cooking, quiet Power (Honda EU2000i generator) for any basic electrical needs, non electric Lighting (Coleman Dual Fuel lantern), Secure commo (field phones with quarter mile of wire), Water containment with a way to filter and purify it (Katadyn filter and Steri-pen UV purifier). These items can make an “Existence” somewhat “Livable”. 

I’m looking forward to hearing what George has to add to the Survivalist based conversation. He has a good grasp of what we face, and is a welcome, rational voice in the preparedness oriented blogosphere.

JCD

American by BIRTH, Infidel by CHOICE